Post columnist Mark Cannizzaro breaks down each team and every division in the NFC as part of our 2019 NFL preview:
1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Coach: Doug Marrone
2018 record: 5-11
O/U wins: 8
Key additions: QB Nick Foles, TE Geoff Swaim, WR Chris Conley
Key losses: QB Blake Bortles, WR Donte Moncrief, TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins
First-and-goal: Can new QB Nick Foles perform for the Jags the way he did for the Eagles in his super-sub role? First-rounder Josh Allen could be a double-digit sacker on a menacing defensive line that features Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue. Jalen Ramsey is arguably the best cornerback in the NFL. Uberathletic LB Myles Jack can cover ground quickly.
Fourth-and-long: The Jags O-line was a problem last season and a reason behind their 31st-ranked scoring offense (15.3 points per game). Receiver could be a problem for the Jags, who don’t have the game-breakers Foles had in Philly like Alshon Jeffrey and Zach Ertz. Marqise Lee and Dede Westbrook have yet to prove themselves as consistent receivers. RB Leonard Fournette, who missed eight games last season, needs to have a big year.
Cann’s call: 10-6. Foles, the centerpiece of the Jags’ offseason rebuild, doesn’t have the supporting cast he had in Philadelphia, but he’s still a significant upgrade over the passing-challenged Blake Bortles.
2. Houston Texans
Coach: Bill O’Brien
2018 record: 10-6
O/U wins: 8 ½
Key additions: LB Barkevious Mingo, S Tashaun Gipson, RB Duke Johnson, QB AJ McCarron, T Laremy Tunsil, WR Kenny Stills
Key losses: DE Jadaveon Clowney, WR Demaryius Thomas, S Tyrann Mathieu, RB Alfred Blue, CB Kareem Jackson
First-and-goal: It’s all about dynamic QB Deshaun Watson and his game-breaking WR DeAndre Hopkins. They make it all go for the Texans. Watson remaining healthy is the key.
The trade for LT Laremy Tunsil will keep Watson from taking the kind of beating (62 sacks) he endured a year ago. They also drafted two tackles among their first three picks and signed free-agent blocking TE Darren Fells in an effort to help with protection.
Fourth-and-long: Jadeveon Clowney is a Seahawk, so who helps J.J. Watt rush the passer? O’Brien doesn’t have a general manager and needs one. S Tyrann “Honey Badger” Mathieu and CB Kareem Jackson are gone. TE Jordan Thomas is intriguing, but the group lacks a sure thing. The schedule is daunting.
Cann’s call: 9-7. Watson has to stay healthy. He’s one of the most dynamic players in the league.
3. Tennessee Titans
Coach: Mike Vrabel
2018 record: 9-7
O/U wins: 8
Key additions: DE Cameron Wake, QB Ryan Tannehill, WR Adam Humphries, LB Jeffery Simmons
Key losses: TE Luke Stocker, QB Blaine Gabbert, S Johnathan Cyprien
First-and-goal: The Titans finished strong in 2018, winning four of their final five regular-season games, and that seemed to coincide with running the ball more often. A continuation of this should help RB Derrick Henry, who rushed for 1,000 yards for the first time in his career, thanks to more carries. TE Delanie Walker, 35, is primed for a comeback season. Possession WR Adam Humphries knows how to get open. LG Rodger Saffold upgrades the O-line. OLB Cameron Wake may be 37, but he still remembers how to chase the quarterback.
Fourth-and-long: It’s difficult to characterize QB Marcus Mariota (above) as a liability for the Titans, but since being taken second overall in the 2015 draft, Mariota has battled two knee sprains, a hamstring strain and a pinched nerve in his elbow. As a result, he’s yet to play in all 16 games in a season.
Former first-round WR Corey Davis has not emerged as a No. 1 receiver. Maybe this year’s first-round WR, A.J. Brown, will one day. LT Taylor Lewan is serving a four-game suspension.
Cann’s call: 8-8. This is a team that really is on the playoff bubble. If things go right enough, the Titans can sneak in.
4. Indianapolis Colts
Coach: Frank Reich
2018 record: 10-6
O/U wins: 7 ½
Key additions: DE Justin Houston, WR Devin Funchess, RB Spencer Ware, WR Parris Campbell
Key losses: QB Andrew Luck, WR Ryan Grant, WR Dontrelle Inman
First-and-goal: With QB Andrew Luck gone, the Colts will perhaps focus more on their running game, led by Marlon Mack, who overcame a slow start in 2018 to rush for 1,068 yards and 10 TDs over his final 13 games (including playoffs). WR T.Y. Hilton has fashioned five seasons over 1,000 yards. Rookie WR Parris Campbell has speed, too. G Quenton Nelson could be this generation’s John Hannah on an O-line that was once the Achilles heel (ask Luck). LB Darius Leonard is a young tacking machine.
Fourth-and-long: Replacing Luck and the 4,593 yards and 39 TDs he threw for in 2018 will be up to Jacoby Brissett, who has been a backup nearly his entire career, but has a lot of influential people (Bill Parcells included) who believe he can be special. Brissett had 4-11 record as a starter in 2017, but that was as a seat holder while Luck was out. He didn’t look sharp at times this summer, yet was handed a two-year, $30 million extension. Also bad news: The Colts have five games against teams that made the playoffs last season.
Cann’s call: 6-10. It’s all about the quarterback. Luck’s sudden retirement cannot help but have the Colts in a stunned spiral as the season approaches.
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